posted by avenger in Politics

And the Winner Will Be….

November 5, 2012

This is it, folks. What may be the longest—and certainly is the most expensive—presidential campaign ends Tuesday. And then all the polling, politicking and pontificating will be over. The American people will vote. Who will they choose?

I’ve examined RealClearPolitics’ composite polls and Nate Silver’s probability models at FiveThirtyEight. I’ve also considered The Huffington Post’s Pollster Model Estimates. I’ve reviewed the electoral histories of the major swing states and then I drew my map.

I’m projecting Barack Obama will be reelected president by a narrow Electoral College margin of 281-257.

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